Match

Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Białystok

JagielloniaGornik Zabrze

The Footlab AI model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Gornik Zabrze. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jagiellonia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Jagiellonia (1,999) and Gornik Zabrze (2,009).

42%27%31%
Jagiellonia winDrawGornik Zabrze win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Jagiellonia

4-2-3-1
  1. 99N. Prelec
  1. 7K. Szmyt
  2. 11Jesús Imaz
  3. 27Rodrigo Conceição
  4. 19A. Klynge
  5. 6T. Romanczuk
  1. 5Bernardo Vital
  2. 15N. Wojtuszek
  3. 44A. Konstantopoulos
  4. 23Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
  1. 50S. Abramowicz

Gornik Zabrze

4-3-3
  1. 33M. Khlan
  2. 19Peter
  3. 9J. Antiste
  1. 14J. Kubicki
  2. 82K. Urbański
  3. 8Paulo Bernardo
  1. 26R. Janicki
  2. 20Josema Sánchez
  3. 61M. Sáček
  4. 64E. Janža
  1. 1P. Schulze

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Gornik Zabrze have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jagiellonia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Polonia Warszawa(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 29, 2026Suduva Marijampole(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)1-3Ekstraklasa
Sep 16, 2026Olympiakos Piraeus(away)1-2UEFA Europa League
Sep 11, 2026Wisla Krakow(away)0-2Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Odra Opole(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Motor Lublin(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Sep 15, 2026Korona Kielce(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Sep 12, 2026Lech Poznan(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Sep 6, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)1-0Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Jagiellonia wins, 1 draw, 3 Gornik Zabrze wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026Jagiellonia 1-2 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
Oct 26, 2025Gornik Zabrze 2-1 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
May 4, 2025Jagiellonia 1-1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
Nov 3, 2024Gornik Zabrze 0-2 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
Mar 2, 2024Gornik Zabrze 2-1 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
Aug 27, 2023Jagiellonia 4-1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze on Apr 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jagiellonia score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gornik Zabrze score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Jagiellonia1.91.3310/1511/15
Gornik Zabrze1.41.3310/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jagiellonia sit 10th in Ekstraklasa (12 points from 8 matches) and Gornik Zabrze sit 1st (22 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Gornik Zabrze971116822
10Jagiellonia8404121312

A question about Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
The Footlab AI model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Gornik Zabrze.
Where and when is Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze played?
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze is played on October 10, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Jagiellonia and Gornik Zabrze

Ready to know everything about football?