Match

Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec

Wieczysta KrakówWisla Plock

The Footlab model makes Wieczysta Kraków the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Wisla Plock. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Wieczysta Kraków (1,927) and Wisla Plock (1,927).

Wieczysta Kraków win47 %
Draw26 %
Wisla Plock win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wieczysta Kraków have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Wisla Plock have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wieczysta Kraków
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)2-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Piast Gliwice(away)4-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Lech Poznan(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026Radomiak Radom(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026Maccabi Netanya(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Wisla Plock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026GKS Katowice(away)0-5Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026Wisla Krakow(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Widzew Łódź(home)0-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Raków Częstochowa(away)2-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 22, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Wieczysta Kraków score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wieczysta Kraków2.01.7112/1511/15
Wisla Plock1.31.646/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wieczysta Kraków sit 17th in Ekstraklasa (3 points from 4 matches) and Wisla Plock sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Wisla Plock4112384
17Wieczysta Kraków41038103

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock?
The Footlab model makes Wieczysta Kraków the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Wisla Plock.
Where and when is Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock played?
Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Plock

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