Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
The Footlab model makes Wieczysta Kraków the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Wisla Plock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Wieczysta Kraków (1,927) and Wisla Plock (1,927).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wieczysta Kraków have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Wisla Plock have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 2-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lech Poznan(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Wieczysta Kraków score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wieczysta Kraków | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Wisla Plock | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wieczysta Kraków sit 17th in Ekstraklasa (3 points from 4 matches) and Wisla Plock sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wisla Plock | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Kraków | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock?
- The Footlab model makes Wieczysta Kraków the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Wisla Plock.
- Where and when is Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock played?
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026JagielloniavsGornik Zabrze
- Oct 10, 2026Slask WroclawvsLech Poznan
- Oct 10, 2026Legia WarszawavsWisla Krakow
- Oct 10, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsKorona Kielce
- Oct 10, 2026Piast GliwicevsWidzew Łódź
- Oct 10, 2026Cracovia KrakowvsZaglebie Lubin
- Oct 10, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsGKS Katowice
- Oct 10, 2026Radomiak RadomvsMotor Lublin