Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Widzew Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Piast Gliwice (1,913) and Widzew Łódź (1,966).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piast Gliwice have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Widzew Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Korona Kielce(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisla Plock(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Piast Gliwice win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Widzew Łódź win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Widzew Łódź 2-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Piast Gliwice 0-2 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 10, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 1-0 Piast Gliwice | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Piast Gliwice 0-2 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Widzew Łódź 1-0 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Widzew Łódź 1-0 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piast Gliwice | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Widzew Łódź | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Piast Gliwice sit 14th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Widzew Łódź sit 8th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Widzew Łódź | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź?
- The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Widzew Łódź.
- Where and when is Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź played?
- Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026JagielloniavsGornik Zabrze
- Oct 10, 2026Slask WroclawvsLech Poznan
- Oct 10, 2026Legia WarszawavsWisla Krakow
- Oct 10, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsKorona Kielce
- Oct 10, 2026Cracovia KrakowvsZaglebie Lubin
- Oct 10, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsGKS Katowice
- Oct 10, 2026Radomiak RadomvsMotor Lublin
- Oct 10, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsWisla Plock