Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Kraków
The Footlab model makes Cracovia Krakow the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Zaglebie Lubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Cracovia Krakow (1,949) and Zaglebie Lubin (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cracovia Krakow have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Zaglebie Lubin have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cracovia Krakow win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Zaglebie Lubin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Cracovia Krakow 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| May 24, 2025 | Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Cracovia Krakow 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cracovia Krakow | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Zaglebie Lubin | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd in Ekstraklasa (8 points from 5 matches) and Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin?
- The Footlab model makes Cracovia Krakow the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Zaglebie Lubin.
- Where and when is Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin played?
- Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026JagielloniavsGornik Zabrze
- Oct 10, 2026Slask WroclawvsLech Poznan
- Oct 10, 2026Legia WarszawavsWisla Krakow
- Oct 10, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsKorona Kielce
- Oct 10, 2026Piast GliwicevsWidzew Łódź
- Oct 10, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsGKS Katowice
- Oct 10, 2026Radomiak RadomvsMotor Lublin
- Oct 10, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsWisla Plock