llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 12Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stebonheath Park, Llanelli, Carmarthenshire
The Footlab AI model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Afan Lido. The most likely score is 1-1. If llanelli AFC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate llanelli AFC (1,523) and Afan Lido (1,536).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
llanelli AFC
Not enough data to predict the llanelli AFC lineup.
Afan Lido
Not enough data to predict the Afan Lido lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, llanelli AFC have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Afan Lido have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-6 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 2-6 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 2-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 5-5 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 llanelli AFC wins, 1 draw, 0 Afan Lido wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | llanelli AFC 1-1 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Afan Lido 0-1 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Jan 5, 2024 | llanelli AFC 3-2 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Afan Lido 0-3 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Mar 3, 2023 | Afan Lido 0-1 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Jul 29, 2022 | llanelli AFC 3-1 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido on Mar 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 3.4 goals per match over their last 15; Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| llanelli AFC | 0.7 | 3.4 | 0 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Afan Lido | 1.7 | 2.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
llanelli AFC sit 16th in FAW Championship (2 points from 11 matches) and Afan Lido sit 10th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 12 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 2 |
A question about llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido?
- The Footlab AI model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Afan Lido.
- Where and when is llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido played?
- llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stebonheath Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 23, 2026Newport CityvsPontypridd Town
- Oct 23, 2026Carmarthen TownvsCaerphilly Athletic
- Oct 23, 2026Trethomas BluebirdsvsCardiff Draconians
- Oct 23, 2026Caerau (Ely)vsLlantwit Major
- Oct 24, 2026Baglan DragonsvsAberystwyth Town
- Oct 24, 2026Swansea UniversityvsTreowen Stars
- Oct 24, 2026Pontardawe TownvsYnyshir Albions