Where and when is Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional played?

Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pelé, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 11Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pelé, Villavicencio

Llaneros

Atletico Nacional

The Footlab model makes Atletico Nacional the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Llaneros. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional?

Atletico Nacional starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,720).

Llaneros win25 %

Draw29 %

Atletico Nacional win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llaneros have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Atletico Nacional have 11, 0 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Llaneros
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(away)	1-0	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Águilas Doradas(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Fortaleza FC(home)	3-1	Primera A
Jul 31, 2026	Bucaramanga(away)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 24, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	1-0	Primera A

Atletico Nacional
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortaleza FC(away)	2-1	Primera A
Aug 10, 2026	America de Cali(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Jaguares(away)	3-0	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Tigres FC(away)	2-0	Copa Colombia
Jul 21, 2026	Tigres FC(home)	2-0	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Llaneros win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Atletico Nacional win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Atletico Nacional 2-0 Llaneros	Primera A
Oct 31, 2025	Llaneros 0-3 Atletico Nacional	Primera A
May 11, 2025	Atletico Nacional 2-1 Llaneros	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Atletico Nacional vs Llaneros on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Llaneros score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Nacional score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Llaneros	1.1	0.8	6	6/15	4/15
Atletico Nacional	1.9	0.8	6	5/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Llaneros sit 14th in Primera A (22 points from 19 matches) and Atletico Nacional sit 1st (40 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	40
1	Atletico Nacional	25	18	1	6	49	21	55
2	Llaneros	5	3	2	0	7	3	11
10	Atletico Nacional	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	22
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17	20	22

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional?: The Footlab model makes Atletico Nacional the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Llaneros.
Where and when is Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional played?: Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pelé, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.