Match

Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Machida Gion Stadium, Tokyo

Machida ZelviaGamba Osaka

The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Gamba Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Machida Zelvia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,156 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka?

Machida Zelvia starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (2,172 vs 2,050).

51%25%24%
Machida Zelvia winDrawGamba Osaka win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Machida Zelvia

3-4-2-1
  1. 99T. Yengi
  1. 9Koki Ogawa
  2. 16H. Mae
  3. 7Y. Soma
  4. 33T. Akimoto
  5. 6H. Mochizuki
  6. 31N. Lavi
  1. 50D. Okamura
  2. 3G. Shōji
  3. 2T. Ouwejan
  1. 1K. Tani

Gamba Osaka

4-2-3-1
  1. 41Y. Toshida
  1. 13S. Abe
  2. 17R. Yamashita
  3. 27R. Mito
  4. 97Welton Felipe
  5. 7T. Usami
  1. 4S. Nakatani
  2. 2S. Fukuoka
  3. 21R. Hatsuse
  4. 28S. Fujiwara
  1. 22J. Ichimori

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:11 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Machida Zelvia have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Gamba Osaka have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)5-0J1 League
Oct 18, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-0J1 League
Oct 15, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)1-0AFC Champions League Two
Oct 10, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)1-0J1 League
Oct 3, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)0-0J-League Cup
Gamba Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(away)2-1J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 13, 2026Newcastle Jets(away)3-1AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 9, 2026Kashima(away)0-2J1 League
Oct 3, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(away)4-5J-League Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Machida Zelvia wins, 1 draw, 2 Gamba Osaka wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 15, 2026Gamba Osaka 3-2 Machida ZelviaFriendlies Clubs
Aug 20, 2025Machida Zelvia 3-1 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Apr 2, 2025Gamba Osaka 0-1 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Jun 30, 2024Gamba Osaka 1-3 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Feb 24, 2024Machida Zelvia 1-1 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Dec 15, 2012Gamba Osaka 3-2 Machida ZelviaEmperor Cup

Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia on Jan 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Machida Zelvia score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gamba Osaka score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Machida Zelvia2.20.787/159/15
Gamba Osaka1.71.538/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Machida Zelvia sit 1st in J1 League (26 points from 11 matches) and Gamba Osaka sit 15th (10 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Machida Zelvia11821301026
15Gamba Osaka11245121910

A question about Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka?
The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Gamba Osaka.
Where and when is Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka played?
Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka is played on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Machida Gion Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Machida Zelvia and Gamba Osaka

Ready to know everything about football?