Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol played?

Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka

Kyoto Sanga

Kashiwa Reysol

The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kashiwa Reysol starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,907).

Kyoto Sanga win25 %

Draw24 %

Kashiwa Reysol win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Kashiwa Reysol have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyoto Sanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Shonan Bellmare(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	1-0	J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	4-2	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	2-1	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	0-1	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Kashiwa Reysol win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 6, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
May 30, 2026	Kyoto Sanga 2-6 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Jun 21, 2025	Kashiwa Reysol 3-3 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Apr 2, 2025	Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Jun 26, 2024	Kyoto Sanga 2-2 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Feb 25, 2024	Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga on Jun 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kyoto Sanga score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kashiwa Reysol score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kyoto Sanga	1.1	2.2	2	9/15	10/15
Kashiwa Reysol	1.5	1.2	3	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Kashiwa Reysol	3	3	0	0	9	4	9
18	Kyoto Sanga	3	0	1	2	4	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol?: The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol played?: Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.