Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Shimizu S-pulse (1,901) and Avispa Fukuoka (1,926).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Avispa Fukuoka have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 2-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(home) | 3-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 2-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shimizu S-pulse win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Avispa Fukuoka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Shimizu S-pulse 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Avispa Fukuoka 3-2 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Shimizu S-pulse 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shimizu S-pulse score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Avispa Fukuoka score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimizu S-pulse | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Avispa Fukuoka | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?
- The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Shimizu S-pulse.
- Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka played?
- Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Sanfrecce HiroshimavsCerezo Osaka
- Sep 12, 2026V-varen NagasakivsNagoya Grampus
- Sep 12, 2026UrawavsFagiano Okayama
- Sep 12, 2026Vissel KobevsKashima
- Sep 12, 2026Gamba OsakavsFC Tokyo
- Sep 12, 2026Kyoto SangavsKashiwa Reysol
- Sep 12, 2026Machida ZelviavsYokohama F. Marinos
- Sep 12, 2026Mito HollyhockvsKawasaki Frontale