Match

Vissel Kobe vs Kashima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe

Vissel KobeKashima

The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Vissel Kobe. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Kashima?

Kashima starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (2,158 vs 2,042).

Vissel Kobe win34 %
Draw27 %
Kashima win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vissel Kobe have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kashima have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vissel Kobe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)0-1J1 League
Aug 15, 2026FC Tokyo(home)2-2J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(away)1-0J1 League
Jul 22, 2026Imabari(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Consadole Sapporo(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-2J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Nagoya Grampus(home)2-1J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)4-3J1 League
Jul 15, 2026Vegalta Sendai(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Vissel Kobe(home)2-0J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vissel Kobe win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kashima win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 6, 2026Kashima 2-0 Vissel KobeJ1 League
May 30, 2026Vissel Kobe 5-0 KashimaJ1 League
Oct 17, 2025Vissel Kobe 0-0 KashimaJ1 League
Mar 29, 2025Kashima 1-0 Vissel KobeJ1 League
Sep 25, 2024Kashima 0-3 Vissel KobeEmperor Cup
Jun 30, 2024Vissel Kobe 3-1 KashimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashima vs Vissel Kobe on Jun 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Vissel Kobe score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kashima score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vissel Kobe1.11.356/157/15
Kashima1.91.086/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vissel Kobe sit 8th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kashima sit 3rd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Kashima3300969
8Vissel Kobe3111334

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vissel Kobe vs Kashima?
The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Vissel Kobe.
Where and when is Vissel Kobe vs Kashima played?
Vissel Kobe vs Kashima is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Vissel Kobe and Kashima

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