Niger vs Morocco: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 4Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Père-Jégo, Casablanca
The Footlab AI model makes Morocco the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Niger. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Niger vs Morocco?
Morocco is a heavy favourite: 1,892 Elo points against 1,463, a 429-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Niger vs Morocco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Niger
4-2-3-1- 7D. Sosah
- 14A. Muhammad
- 9K. Amoustapha
- 12O. Badamassi
- 12O. Badamassi
- 6Y. Oumarou
- 3O. Sako
- 2R. Alhassane
- 24A. Camara
- 24A. Camara
- 22M. Tandja
Morocco
4-2-3-1- 11I. Saibari
- 24N. El Aynaoui
- 8A. Ounahi
- 10Brahim Díaz
- 23B. El Khannouss
- 18O. Targhalline
- 3N. Mazraoui
- 14I. Diop
- 13Z. El Ouahdi
- 27A. Ait Boudlal
- 1Y. Bounou
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Niger have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Morocco have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Algeria(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Gabon(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Lesotho(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Mauritania(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Benin(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Lesotho(away) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Gabon(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jul 9, 2026 | France(away) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Canada(away) | 3-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Netherlands(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Niger wins, 0 draws, 3 Morocco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2025 | Morocco 5-0 Niger | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Niger 1-2 Morocco | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Morocco 1-0 Niger | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Niger score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Morocco score 2.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niger | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Morocco | 2.0 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Niger sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Morocco sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Niger | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
A question about Niger vs Morocco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Niger vs Morocco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Morocco the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Niger.
- Where and when is Niger vs Morocco played?
- Niger vs Morocco is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Père-Jégo, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.