Newport County vs Barnet: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rodney Parade, Casnewydd
The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Newport County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barnet wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newport County vs Barnet?
Barnet starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,809).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newport County vs Barnet
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 27C. Doidge
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 9S. Gwengwe
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 16M. Jacob
- 1J. Wright
Barnet
4-2-3-1- 20K. Tshimanga
- 7T. Knowles
- 11I. Kanu
- 8C. Lakin
- 22O. Gallagher
- 23J. Reeves
- 6Z. Williams
- 5A. Senior
- 4D. Collinge
- 3R. Crichlow-Noble
- 13M. Cox
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport County have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Barnet have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Newport County wins, 3 draws, 1 Barnet win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Barnet 1-2 Newport County | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Newport County 0-0 Barnet | League Two |
| Jul 29, 2025 | Barnet 2-2 Newport County | League Cup |
| Dec 12, 2023 | Barnet 1-4 Newport County | FA Cup |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Newport County 1-1 Barnet | FA Cup |
| Apr 21, 2018 | Barnet 2-0 Newport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Barnet vs Newport County on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newport County score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Barnet score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Barnet | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newport County sit 12th in League Two (13 points from 10 matches) and Barnet sit 2nd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
A question about Newport County vs Barnet?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newport County vs Barnet?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Newport County.
- Where and when is Newport County vs Barnet played?
- Newport County vs Barnet is played on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Rodney Parade, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.