Where and when is Pirin Razlog vs Balkan Botevgrad played?

Pirin Razlog vs Balkan Botevgrad is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Septemvri, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pirin Razlog vs Balkan Botevgrad: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Septemvri, Razlog

Pirin Razlog

Balkan Botevgrad

The Footlab model makes Balkan Botevgrad the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pirin Razlog vs Balkan Botevgrad?

Balkan Botevgrad starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,484 vs 1,366).

Pirin Razlog win33 %

Draw26 %

Balkan Botevgrad win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Razlog have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Balkan Botevgrad have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pirin Razlog
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Oborishte(home)	2-4	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Bansko(away)	1-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	FK Minyor Pernik(home)	0-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Belasitsa(home)	1-3	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Strumska Slava(home)	2-1	Third League - Southwest

Balkan Botevgrad
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Kyustendil(away)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(home)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Strumska Slava(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Bansko(away)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pirin Razlog win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Balkan Botevgrad win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 22, 2025	Balkan Botevgrad 1-1 Pirin Razlog	Third League - Southwest
Aug 2, 2025	Pirin Razlog 0-1 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest
Apr 12, 2025	Balkan Botevgrad 2-0 Pirin Razlog	Third League - Southwest
Sep 21, 2024	Pirin Razlog 4-0 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest
Mar 23, 2024	Balkan Botevgrad 1-1 Pirin Razlog	Third League - Southwest
Nov 8, 2023	Pirin Razlog 3-0 Balkan Botevgrad	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Balkan Botevgrad vs Pirin Razlog on Nov 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Balkan Botevgrad score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pirin Razlog	1.3	1.9	5	8/15	9/15
Balkan Botevgrad	1.3	1.1	7	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pirin Razlog sit 18th in Third League - Southwest (0 points from 4 matches) and Balkan Botevgrad sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Balkan Botevgrad	4	2	0	2	3	4	6
18	Pirin Razlog	4	0	0	4	4	13	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pirin Razlog vs Balkan Botevgrad?: The Footlab model makes Balkan Botevgrad the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Pirin Razlog.
Where and when is Pirin Razlog vs Balkan Botevgrad played?: Pirin Razlog vs Balkan Botevgrad is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Septemvri, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.