Where and when is Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia II played?

Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia II is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Struma, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia II: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Struma, Simitli

Septemvri Simitli

Slavia Sofia II

The Footlab model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Slavia Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia II?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Septemvri Simitli (1,489) and Slavia Sofia II (1,481).

Septemvri Simitli win49 %

Draw27 %

Slavia Sofia II win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Simitli have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Slavia Sofia II have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Septemvri Simitli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	2-4	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	0-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Kostinbrod(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

Slavia Sofia II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kostinbrod(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Slivnishki geroy(home)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Septemvri Sofia II(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Levski Sofia II(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Slivnishki geroy(away)	3-0	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Septemvri Simitli win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Slavia Sofia II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 22, 2025	Slavia Sofia II 3-1 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Aug 2, 2025	Septemvri Simitli 2-0 Slavia Sofia II	Third League - Southwest
Mar 30, 2025	Slavia Sofia II 2-2 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Sep 4, 2024	Septemvri Simitli 1-0 Slavia Sofia II	Third League - Southwest
May 8, 2024	Slavia Sofia II 2-1 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Oct 21, 2023	Septemvri Simitli 2-0 Slavia Sofia II	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia II vs Septemvri Simitli on Nov 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Septemvri Simitli score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Sofia II score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Septemvri Simitli	1.4	0.9	7	5/15	6/15
Slavia Sofia II	1.6	1.1	5	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Septemvri Simitli sit 6th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Slavia Sofia II sit 16th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Septemvri Simitli	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
16	Slavia Sofia II	4	1	0	3	2	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia II?: The Footlab model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Slavia Sofia II.
Where and when is Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia II played?: Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia II is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Struma, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.