Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia II: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Struma, Simitli
The Footlab AI model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Slavia Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Septemvri Simitli wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia II?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Septemvri Simitli (1,420) and Slavia Sofia II (1,449).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Septemvri Simitli
4-3-3- GG. Bozhilov
- NN. Chibout
- VV. Zlatinov
- HH. Mladenov
- FF. Angelov
- JJ. Da Sylva
- KK. Mihaylov
- DD. Mitev
- PP. Kepov
- SS. Kosov
- FF. Dimitrov
Slavia Sofia II
Not enough data to predict the Slavia Sofia II lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Simitli have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Slavia Sofia II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Strumska Slava(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oborishte(home) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 1-5 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(home) | 5-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 4-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 2-3 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Septemvri Simitli wins, 1 draw, 2 Slavia Sofia II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Slavia Sofia II 3-1 Septemvri Simitli | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Septemvri Simitli 2-0 Slavia Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Slavia Sofia II 2-2 Septemvri Simitli | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Septemvri Simitli 1-0 Slavia Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| May 8, 2024 | Slavia Sofia II 2-1 Septemvri Simitli | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Septemvri Simitli 2-0 Slavia Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia II vs Septemvri Simitli on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Simitli score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Sofia II score 2.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Simitli | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Slavia Sofia II | 2.0 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Simitli sit 10th in Third League - Southwest (13 points from 11 matches) and Slavia Sofia II sit 11th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 13 |
| 11 | Slavia Sofia II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
A question about Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Slavia Sofia II.
- Where and when is Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia II played?
- Septemvri Simitli vs Slavia Sofia II is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Struma, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 28, 2026BanskovsSlivnishki geroy
- Oct 28, 2026OborishtevsSeptemvri Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026Strumska SlavavsLevski Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsKostinbrod
- Oct 28, 2026BelasitsavsChavdar Etropole
- Oct 28, 2026KyustendilvsBotev Ihtiman
- Oct 28, 2026Pirin RazlogvsBalkan Botevgrad
- Oct 28, 2026Natsional SofiavsCSKA Sofia III