Natsional Sofia vs CSKA Sofia III: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia III the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Natsional Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If CSKA Sofia III wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Natsional Sofia vs CSKA Sofia III?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Natsional Sofia (1,396) and CSKA Sofia III (1,450).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Natsional Sofia vs CSKA Sofia III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Natsional Sofia
Not enough data to predict the Natsional Sofia lineup.
CSKA Sofia III
Not enough data to predict the CSKA Sofia III lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 05:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Natsional Sofia have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; CSKA Sofia III have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Natsional Sofia score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia III score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natsional Sofia | 2.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| CSKA Sofia III | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Natsional Sofia sit 17th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 11 matches) and CSKA Sofia III sit 12th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | CSKA Sofia III | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
A question about Natsional Sofia vs CSKA Sofia III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Natsional Sofia vs CSKA Sofia III?
- The Footlab AI model makes CSKA Sofia III the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Natsional Sofia.
- Where and when is Natsional Sofia vs CSKA Sofia III played?
- Natsional Sofia vs CSKA Sofia III is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 28, 2026BanskovsSlivnishki geroy
- Oct 28, 2026OborishtevsSeptemvri Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026Strumska SlavavsLevski Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsKostinbrod
- Oct 28, 2026BelasitsavsChavdar Etropole
- Oct 28, 2026KyustendilvsBotev Ihtiman
- Oct 28, 2026Pirin RazlogvsBalkan Botevgrad
- Oct 28, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsSlavia Sofia II