Match

Bansko vs Balkan Botevgrad: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sveti Petar, Bansko

BanskoBalkan Botevgrad

The Footlab model makes Bansko the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Balkan Botevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bansko vs Balkan Botevgrad?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Bansko (1,491) and Balkan Botevgrad (1,484).

Bansko win53 %
Draw26 %
Balkan Botevgrad win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bansko have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Balkan Botevgrad have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bansko
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(away)2-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Pirin Razlog(home)3-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Natsional Sofia(away)2-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Chavdar Etropole(home)3-0Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)0-2Third League - Southwest
Balkan Botevgrad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Botev Ihtiman(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Kyustendil(away)1-0Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Septemvri Simitli(home)1-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Strumska Slava(away)0-2Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026Bansko(away)2-0Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bansko win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Balkan Botevgrad win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 29, 2026Bansko 0-2 Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest
Nov 15, 2025Balkan Botevgrad 3-3 BanskoThird League - Southwest
Apr 2, 2025Balkan Botevgrad 2-0 BanskoThird League - Southwest
Sep 7, 2024Bansko 1-1 Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest
Feb 24, 2024Bansko 1-0 Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest
Aug 12, 2023Balkan Botevgrad 1-1 BanskoThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Bansko vs Balkan Botevgrad on May 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bansko score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Balkan Botevgrad score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bansko1.71.167/1510/15
Balkan Botevgrad1.31.176/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bansko sit 1st in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Balkan Botevgrad sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Bansko431010410
11Balkan Botevgrad4202346

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bansko vs Balkan Botevgrad?
The Footlab model makes Bansko the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Balkan Botevgrad.
Where and when is Bansko vs Balkan Botevgrad played?
Bansko vs Balkan Botevgrad is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sveti Petar, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bansko and Balkan Botevgrad

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