Bansko vs Slivnishki geroy: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sveti Petar, Bansko
The Footlab model makes Bansko the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Slivnishki geroy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bansko vs Slivnishki geroy?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Bansko (1,491) and Slivnishki geroy (1,420).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bansko have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Slivnishki geroy have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 2-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kyustendil(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bansko win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Slivnishki geroy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy 4-0 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Bansko 2-1 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Slivnishki geroy 0-1 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Bansko 3-0 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Bansko 1-0 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Slivnishki geroy 0-0 Bansko | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Slivnishki geroy vs Bansko on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bansko score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bansko | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Slivnishki geroy | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bansko sit 1st in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Slivnishki geroy sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bansko | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Slivnishki geroy | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bansko vs Slivnishki geroy?
- The Footlab model makes Bansko the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Slivnishki geroy.
- Where and when is Bansko vs Slivnishki geroy played?
- Bansko vs Slivnishki geroy is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sveti Petar, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 28, 2026OborishtevsSeptemvri Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026Strumska SlavavsLevski Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsKostinbrod
- Oct 28, 2026BelasitsavsChavdar Etropole
- Oct 28, 2026KyustendilvsBotev Ihtiman
- Oct 28, 2026Pirin RazlogvsBalkan Botevgrad
- Oct 28, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsSlavia Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026Natsional SofiavsCSKA Sofia III