Match

Pirin Razlog vs Chavdar Etropole: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Septemvri, Razlog

Pirin RazlogChavdar Etropole

The Footlab model makes Chavdar Etropole the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pirin Razlog vs Chavdar Etropole?

Chavdar Etropole starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,599 vs 1,366).

Pirin Razlog win31 %
Draw24 %
Chavdar Etropole win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Razlog have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Chavdar Etropole have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pirin Razlog
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Oborishte(home)2-4Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Bansko(away)1-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(home)0-3Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Belasitsa(home)1-3Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026Strumska Slava(home)2-1Third League - Southwest
Chavdar Etropole
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Septemvri Simitli(home)4-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026Strumska Slava(away)1-2Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026Oborishte(home)1-1Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026Bansko(away)0-3Third League - Southwest
Feb 17, 2024CSKA Sofia II(away)0-3Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pirin Razlog win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chavdar Etropole win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2023Pirin Razlog 1-3 Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest
Apr 30, 2022Pirin Razlog 1-0 Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest
Oct 9, 2021Chavdar Etropole 0-0 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest
Apr 24, 2021Pirin Razlog 2-0 Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2020Chavdar Etropole 2-0 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest
Nov 6, 2019Chavdar Etropole 2-1 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Pirin Razlog vs Chavdar Etropole on Nov 11, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chavdar Etropole score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pirin Razlog1.31.958/159/15
Chavdar Etropole2.21.167/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pirin Razlog sit 18th in Third League - Southwest (0 points from 4 matches) and Chavdar Etropole sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Chavdar Etropole4112684
18Pirin Razlog40044130

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pirin Razlog vs Chavdar Etropole?
The Footlab model makes Chavdar Etropole the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Pirin Razlog.
Where and when is Pirin Razlog vs Chavdar Etropole played?
Pirin Razlog vs Chavdar Etropole is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Septemvri, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pirin Razlog and Chavdar Etropole

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