Pirin Razlog vs Chavdar Etropole: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Septemvri, Razlog
The Footlab model makes Chavdar Etropole the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pirin Razlog vs Chavdar Etropole?
Chavdar Etropole starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,599 vs 1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Razlog have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Chavdar Etropole have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oborishte(home) | 2-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(home) | 4-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strumska Slava(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oborishte(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CSKA Sofia II(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pirin Razlog win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chavdar Etropole win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | Pirin Razlog 1-3 Chavdar Etropole | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Pirin Razlog 1-0 Chavdar Etropole | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Chavdar Etropole 0-0 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Pirin Razlog 2-0 Chavdar Etropole | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2020 | Chavdar Etropole 2-0 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 6, 2019 | Chavdar Etropole 2-1 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Pirin Razlog vs Chavdar Etropole on Nov 11, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chavdar Etropole score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Razlog | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Chavdar Etropole | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pirin Razlog sit 18th in Third League - Southwest (0 points from 4 matches) and Chavdar Etropole sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Chavdar Etropole | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pirin Razlog vs Chavdar Etropole?
- The Footlab model makes Chavdar Etropole the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Pirin Razlog.
- Where and when is Pirin Razlog vs Chavdar Etropole played?
- Pirin Razlog vs Chavdar Etropole is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Septemvri, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026BanskovsBalkan Botevgrad
- Nov 7, 2026OborishtevsKostinbrod
- Nov 7, 2026Strumska SlavavsSlivnishki geroy
- Nov 7, 2026Botev IhtimanvsSlavia Sofia II
- Nov 7, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsCSKA Sofia III
- Nov 7, 2026BelasitsavsNatsional Sofia
- Nov 7, 2026KyustendilvsLevski Sofia II
- Nov 7, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsSeptemvri Sofia II