FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Minyor, Pernik
The Footlab AI model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Kostinbrod. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,872 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod?
FK Minyor Pernik starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,558 vs 1,425).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FK Minyor Pernik
4-3-3- 15D. Tarasenko
- 2B. Nikolov
- 7A. Aleksandrov
- 8V. Dotsev
- 16R. Viktorov
- 13Y. Yordanov
- 4M. Orachev
- 3P. Chilikov
- 39M. Orachev
- 22P. Vutsov
- 1I. Goshev
Kostinbrod
Not enough data to predict the Kostinbrod lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Minyor Pernik have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Kostinbrod have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 5-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 5-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 FK Minyor Pernik wins, 0 draws, 0 Kostinbrod wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2024 | Kostinbrod 1-3 FK Minyor Pernik | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 3, 2023 | FK Minyor Pernik 1-0 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Kostinbrod vs FK Minyor Pernik on May 18, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
FK Minyor Pernik score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kostinbrod score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Minyor Pernik | 1.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Kostinbrod | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Minyor Pernik sit 1st in Third League - Southwest (29 points from 12 matches) and Kostinbrod sit 7th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | Kostinbrod | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
A question about FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod?
- The Footlab AI model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Kostinbrod.
- Where and when is FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod played?
- FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Minyor, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 28, 2026BanskovsSlivnishki geroy
- Oct 28, 2026OborishtevsSeptemvri Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026Strumska SlavavsLevski Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026BelasitsavsChavdar Etropole
- Oct 28, 2026KyustendilvsBotev Ihtiman
- Oct 28, 2026Pirin RazlogvsBalkan Botevgrad
- Oct 28, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsSlavia Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026Natsional SofiavsCSKA Sofia III