Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Osogovo, Kyustendil
The Footlab AI model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Botev Ihtiman. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kyustendil wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Kyustendil (1,397) and Botev Ihtiman (1,434).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kyustendil
4-3-3- AAleksandar Krasimirov Aleksandrov
- SS. Blagoev
- PPlamen Plamenov Petrov
- DD. Mladenov
- TT. Stoichkov
- DD. Gogov
- DD. Iliev
- AA. Ademov
- GG. Kupenov
- BB. Stoynev
- II. Topalov
Botev Ihtiman
4-3-3- AA. Kurdov
- VV. Kaptiev
- KK. Dimitrov
- VV. Baharov
- VV. Velev
- YY. Gavrilov
- BB. Angelov
- SS. Katrankov
- DD. Vezalov
- II. Velikov
- NN. Radev
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 07:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyustendil have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Botev Ihtiman have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Oborishte(away) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bansko(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Spartak Plovdiv(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kyustendil wins, 0 draws, 3 Botev Ihtiman wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Kyustendil 0-2 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Botev Ihtiman 3-1 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Kyustendil 4-1 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Botev Ihtiman 1-2 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Kyustendil 0-3 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Botev Ihtiman 1-2 Kyustendil | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kyustendil score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Ihtiman score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyustendil | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Botev Ihtiman | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kyustendil sit 16th in Third League - Southwest (9 points from 10 matches) and Botev Ihtiman sit 8th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 15 |
| 16 | Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 9 |
A question about Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Botev Ihtiman.
- Where and when is Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman played?
- Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Osogovo, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 28, 2026BanskovsSlivnishki geroy
- Oct 28, 2026OborishtevsSeptemvri Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026Strumska SlavavsLevski Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsKostinbrod
- Oct 28, 2026BelasitsavsChavdar Etropole
- Oct 28, 2026Pirin RazlogvsBalkan Botevgrad
- Oct 28, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsSlavia Sofia II
- Oct 28, 2026Natsional SofiavsCSKA Sofia III