Where and when is Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman played?

Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Osogovo, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Osogovo, Kyustendil

Kyustendil

Botev Ihtiman

The Footlab model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Botev Ihtiman. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Kyustendil (1,450) and Botev Ihtiman (1,469).

Kyustendil win42 %

Draw27 %

Botev Ihtiman win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyustendil have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Botev Ihtiman have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyustendil
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(home)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Kostinbrod(away)	1-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Slivnishki geroy(home)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest

Botev Ihtiman
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Kostinbrod(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Slivnishki geroy(away)	3-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 2, 2026	Septemvri Sofia II(home)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Vitosha Bistritsa(home)	3-0	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kyustendil win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Botev Ihtiman win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Kyustendil 0-2 Botev Ihtiman	Third League - Southwest
Aug 16, 2025	Botev Ihtiman 3-1 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest
Apr 5, 2025	Kyustendil 4-1 Botev Ihtiman	Third League - Southwest
Sep 14, 2024	Botev Ihtiman 1-2 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest
Apr 6, 2024	Kyustendil 0-3 Botev Ihtiman	Third League - Southwest
Sep 15, 2023	Botev Ihtiman 1-2 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kyustendil score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Ihtiman score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kyustendil	0.7	1.6	4	8/15	7/15
Botev Ihtiman	1.3	1.3	3	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyustendil sit 15th in Third League - Southwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Botev Ihtiman sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Botev Ihtiman	4	2	0	2	5	5	6
15	Kyustendil	4	1	1	2	4	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman?: The Footlab model makes Kyustendil the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Botev Ihtiman.
Where and when is Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman played?: Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Osogovo, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.