Match

Belasitsa vs Chavdar Etropole: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tsar Samuil, Petrich

BelasitsaChavdar Etropole

The Footlab AI model makes Chavdar Etropole the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Belasitsa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chavdar Etropole wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Belasitsa vs Chavdar Etropole?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Belasitsa (1,379) and Chavdar Etropole (1,474).

36%26%38%
Belasitsa winDrawChavdar Etropole win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Belasitsa vs Chavdar Etropole

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Belasitsa

4-3-3
  1. 17I. Filchev
  2. 9K. Krastev
  3. 99D. Ivanov
  1. 26K. Valkov
  2. 18G. Karakashev
  3. 14I. Marchev
  1. 4D. Yovchev
  2. 5D. Yaramov
  3. 19V. Ergin
  4. 15A. Karachorov
  1. 1V. Ivanov

Chavdar Etropole

4-3-3
  1. NN. Botev
  2. NN. Ivanov
  3. SS. Sotirov
  1. AA. Gushterov
  2. TT. Stoichkov
  3. SS. Alichkov
  1. MM. Vasilev
  2. HH. Kaymakanski
  3. EE. Trendafilov
  4. GG. Yurukov
  1. SS. Petrov

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:59 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belasitsa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Chavdar Etropole have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Belasitsa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026CSKA Sofia III(home)0-2Third League - Southwest
Oct 10, 2026Septemvri Simitli(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
Oct 7, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)1-2Third League - Southwest
Oct 4, 2026Dobrudzha(home)1-2Cup
Sep 26, 2026Strumska Slava(away)1-2Third League - Southwest
Chavdar Etropole
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)1-0Third League - Southwest
Oct 10, 2026Kostinbrod(away)0-5Third League - Southwest
Oct 3, 2026Slivnishki geroy(home)2-1Third League - Southwest
Sep 26, 2026Septemvri Sofia II(away)1-0Third League - Southwest
Sep 19, 2026Levski Sofia II(home)1-3Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Belasitsa wins, 2 draws, 1 Chavdar Etropole win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 22, 2022Chavdar Etropole 1-0 BelasitsaCup
Apr 9, 2022Chavdar Etropole 1-1 BelasitsaThird League - Southwest
Sep 25, 2021Belasitsa 2-1 Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest
May 29, 2021Belasitsa 3-1 Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest
Nov 28, 2020Chavdar Etropole 0-1 BelasitsaThird League - Southwest
Sep 28, 2019Chavdar Etropole 0-0 BelasitsaThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Chavdar Etropole vs Belasitsa on Sep 22, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Belasitsa score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chavdar Etropole score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Belasitsa1.41.9111/159/15
Chavdar Etropole1.42.147/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Belasitsa sit 15th in Third League - Southwest (11 points from 12 matches) and Chavdar Etropole sit 13th (13 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Chavdar Etropole12417132813
15Belasitsa12327172311

A question about Belasitsa vs Chavdar Etropole?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Belasitsa vs Chavdar Etropole?
The Footlab AI model makes Chavdar Etropole the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Belasitsa.
Where and when is Belasitsa vs Chavdar Etropole played?
Belasitsa vs Chavdar Etropole is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tsar Samuil, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Belasitsa and Chavdar Etropole

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