Redcar Athletic vs Gainsborough Trinity: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Green Lane, Redcar, North Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Redcar Athletic the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Gainsborough Trinity. The most likely score is 1-1. If Redcar Athletic wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Redcar Athletic vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Redcar Athletic starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,963 vs 1,850).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Redcar Athletic vs Gainsborough Trinity
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Redcar Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Redcar Athletic lineup.
Gainsborough Trinity
Not enough data to predict the Gainsborough Trinity lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Redcar Athletic have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Gainsborough Trinity have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Avro(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 6-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Redcar Athletic score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gainsborough Trinity score 2.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redcar Athletic | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Gainsborough Trinity | 2.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Redcar Athletic sit 1st in Non League Premier - Northern (34 points from 15 matches) and Gainsborough Trinity sit 4th (25 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 13 | 34 |
| 4 | Gainsborough Trinity | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 25 |
A question about Redcar Athletic vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Redcar Athletic vs Gainsborough Trinity?
- The Footlab AI model makes Redcar Athletic the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Gainsborough Trinity.
- Where and when is Redcar Athletic vs Gainsborough Trinity played?
- Redcar Athletic vs Gainsborough Trinity is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Green Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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