Rochdale vs Accrington ST: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Accrington ST. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rochdale wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,963 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
Rochdale starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,923 vs 1,800).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rochdale vs Accrington ST
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 17B. Adeeko
- 8H. Gilmour
- 45G. Middleton
- 7C. Hayes
- 21Kane Taylor
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 2C. Tasker
- 44A. Flint
- 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
- 20Sam William John Waller
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2- 23T. Walton
- 39J. Woods
- 38C. O'Brien
- 33D. Tutonda
- 14Stefan Mols
- 16Aidan Borland
- 10Alex Henderson
- 22J. Anderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 2D. Love
- 1L. Moulden
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 01:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Accrington ST have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Rochdale wins, 1 draw, 1 Accrington ST win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2022 | Accrington ST 3-3 Rochdale | EFL Trophy |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Rochdale 3-1 Accrington ST | League One |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Accrington ST 2-1 Rochdale | League One |
| Jan 1, 2020 | Accrington ST 1-2 Rochdale | League One |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Rochdale 2-1 Accrington ST | League One |
| Apr 9, 2019 | Accrington ST 0-1 Rochdale | League One |
Last archived meeting: Accrington ST vs Rochdale on Aug 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Accrington ST score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Accrington ST | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rochdale sit 14th in League Two (15 points from 12 matches) and Accrington ST sit 11th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Accrington ST | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 15 |
| 14 | Rochdale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
A question about Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rochdale vs Accrington ST?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Accrington ST.
- Where and when is Rochdale vs Accrington ST played?
- Rochdale vs Accrington ST is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Crown Oil Arena, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.