Rwanda vs Cape Verde Islands: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 6Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Amahoro, Kigali
The Footlab AI model makes Cape Verde Islands the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Rwanda. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cape Verde Islands wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rwanda vs Cape Verde Islands?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Rwanda (1,494) and Cape Verde Islands (1,571).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rwanda vs Cape Verde Islands
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rwanda
4-2-3-1- 7Abeddy Biramahire
- 22J. Kwizera
- 15Bonheur Mugisha
- 13L. Mickels
- 20J. Mickels
- 11Kevin Muhire
- 5A. Mutsinzi
- 25P. Kavita
- 2Claude Niyomugabo
- 16Clément Niyigena
- 1F. Ntwari
Cape Verde Islands
4-1-4-1- 9Gilson Benchimol
- 20Ryan Mendes
- 6Kevin Pina
- 18Telmo Arcanjo
- 16José Luís Rocha Tavares
- 25A. Santos
- 3Diney Borges
- 13S. Lopes Cabral
- 2Wagner Pina
- 5Logan Costa
- 1Vózinha
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rwanda have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Cape Verde Islands have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Kenya(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Cape Verde Islands(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Liberia(home) | 3-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Estonia(home) | 2-0 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Grenada(home) | 4-0 | FIFA Series |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Rwanda(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Mali(away) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 2-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Uruguay(away) | 2-2 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Rwanda win, 2 draws, 0 Cape Verde Islands wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Cape Verde Islands 1-2 Rwanda | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Rwanda 0-0 Cape Verde Islands | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 12, 2020 | Cape Verde Islands 0-0 Rwanda | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda on Sep 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rwanda score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cape Verde Islands score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rwanda | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Cape Verde Islands | 1.5 | 1.3 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rwanda sit 1st in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (6 points from 2 matches) and Cape Verde Islands sit 3rd (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rwanda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Cape Verde Islands | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
A question about Rwanda vs Cape Verde Islands?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rwanda vs Cape Verde Islands?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cape Verde Islands the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Rwanda.
- Where and when is Rwanda vs Cape Verde Islands played?
- Rwanda vs Cape Verde Islands is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Amahoro, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.