Sanjoanense vs Pacos de Brandao: prediction and stats
Taça de Portugal1/128-finalsKick-off on August 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Conde Dias Garcia, São João da Madeira
The Footlab model makes Pacos de Brandao the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Sanjoanense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanjoanense vs Pacos de Brandao?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanjoanense have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Pacos de Brandao have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Beira-Mar(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | São João Ver(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Paredes(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | SC Braga B(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanjoanense vs Pacos de Brandao?
- The Footlab model makes Pacos de Brandao the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Sanjoanense.
- Where and when is Sanjoanense vs Pacos de Brandao played?
- Sanjoanense vs Pacos de Brandao is played on August 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Conde Dias Garcia, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.