Where and when is Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga played?

Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 14Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogotá, D.C.

Santa Fe

Bucaramanga

The Footlab model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 53%, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Bucaramanga. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga?

Santa Fe starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,740).

Santa Fe win53 %

Draw29 %

Bucaramanga win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Fe have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Bucaramanga have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santa Fe
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	America de Cali(home)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 20, 2026	River Plate(home)	0-0	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 8, 2026	Chico(home)	2-0	Primera A
Aug 6, 2026	Union Magdalena(home)	2-0	Copa Colombia
Aug 3, 2026	Once Caldas(home)	2-2	Primera A

Bucaramanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Deportes Tolima(away)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	3-2	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Cucuta(home)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 31, 2026	Llaneros(home)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Millonarios(away)	1-0	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Santa Fe win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Bucaramanga win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Bucaramanga 1-2 Santa Fe	Primera A
Dec 9, 2025	Santa Fe 0-0 Bucaramanga	Primera A
Nov 19, 2025	Bucaramanga 1-0 Santa Fe	Primera A
Aug 10, 2025	Bucaramanga 2-1 Santa Fe	Primera A
Mar 19, 2025	Santa Fe 1-1 Bucaramanga	Primera A
Aug 28, 2024	Bucaramanga 3-1 Santa Fe	Copa Colombia

Last archived meeting: Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bucaramanga score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Santa Fe	1.5	0.5	9	6/15	5/15
Bucaramanga	1.5	1.4	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Santa Fe sit 7th in Primera A (29 points from 19 matches) and Bucaramanga sit 13th (23 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Santa Fe	23	8	11	4	35	24	35
5	Bucaramanga	5	2	3	0	6	4	9
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29	22	29
11	Santa Fe	4	1	2	1	5	4	5
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	23
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	23

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga?: The Footlab model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 53%, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Bucaramanga.
Where and when is Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga played?: Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.