Match

Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 01:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogotá, D.C.

Santa FeBucaramanga

The Footlab AI model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Bucaramanga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Fe wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,247 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga?

On Elo ratings, Santa Fe has 1,833 points and Bucaramanga 1,761.

57%24%19%
Santa Fe winDrawBucaramanga win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Santa Fe

4-2-3-1
  1. 11H. Rodallega
  1. 16D. Torres
  2. 9F. Fagúndez
  3. 77J. Obrian
  4. 7J. Torres
  5. 10A. Zapata
  1. 13H. Palacios
  2. 32C. Mafla
  3. 18E. Olivera
  4. 15I. Scarpeta
  1. 12W. Asprilla

Bucaramanga

3-4-3
  1. 27L. Pons
  2. 17E. Batalla
  3. 10F. Sambueza
  1. 21F. Charrupí
  2. 8F. Hinestroza
  3. 22F. Castro
  4. 19A. Gutiérrez
  1. 24J. Ortiz
  2. 6N. Castrillón
  3. 4J. García
  1. 12D. Novoa

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 09:23 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Fe have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Bucaramanga have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santa Fe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 22, 2026Jaguares(home)2-1Primera A
Oct 18, 2026Llaneros(away)0-1Primera A
Oct 11, 2026Fortaleza FC(home)2-2Copa Colombia
Oct 6, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)1-0Primera A
Sep 29, 2026Deportivo Pereira(away)2-1Primera A
Bucaramanga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 23, 2026Chico(away)0-1Primera A
Oct 18, 2026America de Cali(home)1-1Primera A
Oct 13, 2026Águilas Doradas(home)1-1Primera A
Oct 4, 2026Junior(home)3-1Primera A
Sep 26, 2026Once Caldas(away)3-1Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Santa Fe win, 2 draws, 3 Bucaramanga wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Bucaramanga 1-2 Santa FePrimera A
Dec 9, 2025Santa Fe 0-0 BucaramangaPrimera A
Nov 19, 2025Bucaramanga 1-0 Santa FePrimera A
Aug 10, 2025Bucaramanga 2-1 Santa FePrimera A
Mar 19, 2025Santa Fe 1-1 BucaramangaPrimera A
Aug 28, 2024Bucaramanga 3-1 Santa FeCopa Colombia

Last archived meeting: Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Santa Fe score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bucaramanga score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Santa Fe1.31.139/156/15
Bucaramanga1.51.0311/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Santa Fe sit 6th in Primera A (25 points from 14 matches) and Bucaramanga sit 5th (25 points from 14 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Bucaramanga14671221325
6Santa Fe14743211425

A question about Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga?
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Bucaramanga.
Where and when is Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga played?
Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga is played on October 27, 2026 at 01:05 AM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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