Spartans vs Dundee II: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ainslie Park Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab model makes Spartans the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Dundee II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartans vs Dundee II?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Spartans (1,611) and Dundee II (1,527).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartans have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Dundee II have 2, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stranraer(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Edinburgh City(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 1-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Elgin City(away) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Stirling Albion(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-6 | Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Spartans score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee II score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartans | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Dundee II | 1.0 | 2.3 | 4 | 6/13 | 8/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartans vs Dundee II?
- The Footlab model makes Spartans the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Dundee II.
- Where and when is Spartans vs Dundee II played?
- Spartans vs Dundee II is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ainslie Park Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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