Match

Spartans vs Dundee II: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ainslie Park Stadium, Edinburgh

SpartansDundee II

The Footlab model makes Spartans the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Dundee II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spartans vs Dundee II?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Spartans (1,611) and Dundee II (1,527).

Spartans win62 %
Draw19 %
Dundee II win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartans have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Dundee II have 2, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spartans
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Elgin City(home)3-3League Two
Aug 15, 2026Stranraer(away)0-1League Two
Aug 11, 2026East Fife(away)2-2Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Edinburgh City(home)2-2League Two
Aug 1, 2026Annan Athletic(away)4-2League Two
Dundee II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 11, 2026Formartine United(away)1-4Challenge Cup
Jul 2, 2026Peterhead(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Nov 11, 2025Elgin City(away)1-3Challenge Cup
Oct 11, 2025Stirling Albion(away)0-2Challenge Cup
Sep 23, 2025Inverness CT(away)0-6Challenge Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Spartans score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee II score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Spartans1.51.8210/159/15
Dundee II1.02.346/138/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spartans vs Dundee II?
The Footlab model makes Spartans the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Dundee II.
Where and when is Spartans vs Dundee II played?
Spartans vs Dundee II is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ainslie Park Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Spartans and Dundee II

Ready to know everything about football?