Strumska Slava vs Slivnishki geroy: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Radomir
The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Slivnishki geroy. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strumska Slava vs Slivnishki geroy?
Strumska Slava starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,563 vs 1,420).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strumska Slava have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Slivnishki geroy have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(home) | 2-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kyustendil(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Strumska Slava win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Slivnishki geroy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Strumska Slava 3-0 Slivnishki geroy | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Slivnishki geroy 2-2 Strumska Slava | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Strumska Slava vs Slivnishki geroy on Apr 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Strumska Slava score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Slivnishki geroy score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strumska Slava | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Slivnishki geroy | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strumska Slava sit 2nd in Third League - Southwest (10 points from 4 matches) and Slivnishki geroy sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Slivnishki geroy | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strumska Slava vs Slivnishki geroy?
- The Footlab model makes Strumska Slava the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Slivnishki geroy.
- Where and when is Strumska Slava vs Slivnishki geroy played?
- Strumska Slava vs Slivnishki geroy is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026BanskovsBalkan Botevgrad
- Nov 7, 2026OborishtevsKostinbrod
- Nov 7, 2026Botev IhtimanvsSlavia Sofia II
- Nov 7, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsCSKA Sofia III
- Nov 7, 2026BelasitsavsNatsional Sofia
- Nov 7, 2026KyustendilvsLevski Sofia II
- Nov 7, 2026Pirin RazlogvsChavdar Etropole
- Nov 7, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsSeptemvri Sofia II