Botev Ihtiman vs Slavia Sofia II: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Ihtiman
The Footlab model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Slavia Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Ihtiman vs Slavia Sofia II?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Botev Ihtiman (1,469) and Slavia Sofia II (1,481).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Ihtiman have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Slavia Sofia II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Vitosha Bistritsa(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Botev Ihtiman win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Slavia Sofia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman 0-0 Slavia Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Slavia Sofia II 2-2 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| May 17, 2025 | Botev Ihtiman 0-0 Slavia Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Slavia Sofia II 1-2 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
| May 25, 2024 | Botev Ihtiman 2-1 Slavia Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Slavia Sofia II 3-4 Botev Ihtiman | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Botev Ihtiman vs Slavia Sofia II on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Ihtiman score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Sofia II score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Ihtiman | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Slavia Sofia II | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Ihtiman sit 9th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Slavia Sofia II sit 16th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Botev Ihtiman | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 16 | Slavia Sofia II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Ihtiman vs Slavia Sofia II?
- The Footlab model makes Botev Ihtiman the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Slavia Sofia II.
- Where and when is Botev Ihtiman vs Slavia Sofia II played?
- Botev Ihtiman vs Slavia Sofia II is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026BanskovsBalkan Botevgrad
- Nov 7, 2026OborishtevsKostinbrod
- Nov 7, 2026Strumska SlavavsSlivnishki geroy
- Nov 7, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsCSKA Sofia III
- Nov 7, 2026BelasitsavsNatsional Sofia
- Nov 7, 2026KyustendilvsLevski Sofia II
- Nov 7, 2026Pirin RazlogvsChavdar Etropole
- Nov 7, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsSeptemvri Sofia II