Where and when is Oborishte vs Kostinbrod played?

Oborishte vs Kostinbrod is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Orcho voyvoda, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Oborishte vs Kostinbrod: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Orcho voyvoda, Panagyurishte

Oborishte

Kostinbrod

The Footlab model makes Oborishte the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Kostinbrod. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oborishte vs Kostinbrod?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Oborishte (1,530) and Kostinbrod (1,437).

Oborishte win63 %

Draw23 %

Kostinbrod win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oborishte have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Kostinbrod have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oborishte
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pirin Razlog(away)	4-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Natsional Sofia(home)	3-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	Germaneya(home)	5-1	Third League - Southwest

Kostinbrod
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Slavia Sofia II(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	3-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oborishte win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kostinbrod win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 9, 2026	Kostinbrod 0-0 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest
Sep 27, 2025	Oborishte 2-1 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest
Mar 16, 2024	Oborishte 5-2 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest
Sep 2, 2023	Kostinbrod 1-1 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest
Mar 4, 2023	Kostinbrod 2-1 Oborishte	Third League - Southwest
Oct 8, 2022	Oborishte 0-4 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Kostinbrod vs Oborishte on Apr 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oborishte score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kostinbrod score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Oborishte	1.6	1.1	3	9/15	7/15
Kostinbrod	0.9	1.3	4	5/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oborishte sit 3rd in Third League - Southwest (8 points from 4 matches) and Kostinbrod sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Oborishte	4	2	2	0	9	5	8
10	Kostinbrod	4	2	0	2	4	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oborishte vs Kostinbrod?: The Footlab model makes Oborishte the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Kostinbrod.
Where and when is Oborishte vs Kostinbrod played?: Oborishte vs Kostinbrod is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Orcho voyvoda, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.