Oborishte vs Kostinbrod: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Orcho voyvoda, Panagyurishte
The Footlab AI model makes Oborishte the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Kostinbrod. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oborishte vs Kostinbrod?
On Elo ratings, Oborishte has 1,522 points and Kostinbrod 1,430.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oborishte vs Kostinbrod
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oborishte
4-3-3- PP. Petkov
- GGeorgi Netov
- GG. Anev
- MM. Sandov
- DDimitar Pantaleev
- MM. Valchinov
- SS. Georgiev
- SS. Stefanov
- AA. Hristov
- II. Velikov
- MM. Matev
Kostinbrod
Not enough data to predict the Kostinbrod lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oborishte have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Kostinbrod have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 2-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 5-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia III(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Slivnishki geroy(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oborishte wins, 2 draws, 2 Kostinbrod wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Kostinbrod 0-0 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Oborishte 2-1 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Oborishte 5-2 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Kostinbrod 1-1 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Kostinbrod 2-1 Oborishte | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Oborishte 0-4 Kostinbrod | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Kostinbrod vs Oborishte on Apr 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oborishte score 2.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kostinbrod score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oborishte | 2.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Kostinbrod | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oborishte sit 2nd in Third League - Southwest (22 points from 10 matches) and Kostinbrod sit 7th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oborishte | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 22 |
| 7 | Kostinbrod | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
A question about Oborishte vs Kostinbrod?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oborishte vs Kostinbrod?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oborishte the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Kostinbrod.
- Where and when is Oborishte vs Kostinbrod played?
- Oborishte vs Kostinbrod is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Orcho voyvoda, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026BanskovsBalkan Botevgrad
- Nov 7, 2026Strumska SlavavsSlivnishki geroy
- Nov 7, 2026Botev IhtimanvsSlavia Sofia II
- Nov 7, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsCSKA Sofia III
- Nov 7, 2026BelasitsavsNatsional Sofia
- Nov 7, 2026KyustendilvsLevski Sofia II
- Nov 7, 2026Pirin RazlogvsChavdar Etropole
- Nov 7, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsSeptemvri Sofia II