FK Minyor Pernik vs CSKA Sofia III: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Minyor, Pernik
The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for CSKA Sofia III. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Minyor Pernik vs CSKA Sofia III?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate FK Minyor Pernik (1,516) and CSKA Sofia III (1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Minyor Pernik have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; CSKA Sofia III have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bansko(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 23, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyustendil(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Septemvri Simitli(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 0-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oborishte(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Kostinbrod(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
FK Minyor Pernik score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia III score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Minyor Pernik | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| CSKA Sofia III | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Minyor Pernik sit 4th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and CSKA Sofia III sit 12th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FK Minyor Pernik | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 12 | CSKA Sofia III | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Minyor Pernik vs CSKA Sofia III?
- The Footlab model makes FK Minyor Pernik the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for CSKA Sofia III.
- Where and when is FK Minyor Pernik vs CSKA Sofia III played?
- FK Minyor Pernik vs CSKA Sofia III is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Minyor, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026BanskovsBalkan Botevgrad
- Nov 7, 2026OborishtevsKostinbrod
- Nov 7, 2026Strumska SlavavsSlivnishki geroy
- Nov 7, 2026Botev IhtimanvsSlavia Sofia II
- Nov 7, 2026BelasitsavsNatsional Sofia
- Nov 7, 2026KyustendilvsLevski Sofia II
- Nov 7, 2026Pirin RazlogvsChavdar Etropole
- Nov 7, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsSeptemvri Sofia II