Match

Belasitsa vs Natsional Sofia: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tsar Samuil, Petrich

BelasitsaNatsional Sofia

The Footlab AI model makes Belasitsa the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Natsional Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Belasitsa wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Belasitsa vs Natsional Sofia?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Belasitsa (1,399) and Natsional Sofia (1,396).

50%25%25%
Belasitsa winDrawNatsional Sofia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Belasitsa vs Natsional Sofia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Belasitsa

4-3-3
  1. 17I. Filchev
  2. 9K. Krastev
  3. 99D. Ivanov
  1. 26K. Valkov
  2. 18G. Karakashev
  3. 14I. Marchev
  1. 4D. Yovchev
  2. 5D. Yaramov
  3. 19V. Ergin
  4. 15A. Karachorov
  1. 1V. Ivanov

Natsional Sofia

Not enough data to predict the Natsional Sofia lineup.

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belasitsa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Natsional Sofia have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Belasitsa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Septemvri Simitli(away)1-1Third League - Southwest
Oct 7, 2026Balkan Botevgrad(home)1-2Third League - Southwest
Oct 4, 2026Dobrudzha(home)1-2Cup
Sep 26, 2026Strumska Slava(away)1-2Third League - Southwest
Sep 19, 2026Kostinbrod(home)0-1Third League - Southwest
Natsional Sofia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Slivnishki geroy(away)0-2Third League - Southwest
Oct 7, 2026Septemvri Sofia II(home)1-2Third League - Southwest
Oct 4, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home)1-3Cup
Sep 26, 2026Levski Sofia II(away)0-0Third League - Southwest
Sep 19, 2026Slavia Sofia II(home)2-0Third League - Southwest

How many goals should we expect?

Belasitsa score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Natsional Sofia score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Belasitsa1.41.9111/1510/15
Natsional Sofia2.51.939/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Belasitsa sit 14th in Third League - Southwest (11 points from 11 matches) and Natsional Sofia sit 17th (7 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Belasitsa11326172111
17Natsional Sofia1114612207

A question about Belasitsa vs Natsional Sofia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Belasitsa vs Natsional Sofia?
The Footlab AI model makes Belasitsa the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Natsional Sofia.
Where and when is Belasitsa vs Natsional Sofia played?
Belasitsa vs Natsional Sofia is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tsar Samuil, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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