Septemvri Simitli vs Septemvri Sofia II: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Struma, Simitli
The Footlab AI model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Septemvri Sofia II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Septemvri Simitli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Simitli vs Septemvri Sofia II?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Septemvri Simitli (1,420) and Septemvri Sofia II (1,488).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Septemvri Simitli vs Septemvri Sofia II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Septemvri Simitli
4-3-3- GG. Bozhilov
- NN. Chibout
- VV. Zlatinov
- HH. Mladenov
- FF. Angelov
- JJ. Da Sylva
- KK. Mihaylov
- DD. Mitev
- PP. Kepov
- SS. Kosov
- FF. Dimitrov
Septemvri Sofia II
Not enough data to predict the Septemvri Sofia II lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Simitli have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Septemvri Sofia II have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Strumska Slava(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oborishte(home) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pirin Razlog(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Natsional Sofia(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chavdar Etropole(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Balkan Botevgrad(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kostinbrod(away) | 3-1 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Septemvri Simitli wins, 2 draws, 0 Septemvri Sofia II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II 0-0 Septemvri Simitli | Third League - Southwest |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Septemvri Simitli 1-0 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia II 0-2 Septemvri Simitli | Third League - Southwest |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Septemvri Simitli 3-0 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Septemvri Sofia II 0-0 Septemvri Simitli | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Septemvri Simitli 2-0 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Septemvri Sofia II vs Septemvri Simitli on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Simitli score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Septemvri Sofia II score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Simitli | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Septemvri Sofia II | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Simitli sit 10th in Third League - Southwest (13 points from 11 matches) and Septemvri Sofia II sit 5th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Septemvri Sofia II | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 13 |
A question about Septemvri Simitli vs Septemvri Sofia II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Simitli vs Septemvri Sofia II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Septemvri Sofia II.
- Where and when is Septemvri Simitli vs Septemvri Sofia II played?
- Septemvri Simitli vs Septemvri Sofia II is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Struma, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026BanskovsBalkan Botevgrad
- Nov 7, 2026OborishtevsKostinbrod
- Nov 7, 2026Strumska SlavavsSlivnishki geroy
- Nov 7, 2026Botev IhtimanvsSlavia Sofia II
- Nov 7, 2026FK Minyor PernikvsCSKA Sofia III
- Nov 7, 2026BelasitsavsNatsional Sofia
- Nov 7, 2026KyustendilvsLevski Sofia II
- Nov 7, 2026Pirin RazlogvsChavdar Etropole