Tigre vs Barracas Central: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Dellagiovanna, San Fernando, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Tigre the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Barracas Central. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tigre vs Barracas Central?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Tigre (1,880) and Barracas Central (1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tigre have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Barracas Central have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atletico Torque(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aldosivi(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atletico Torque(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | River Plate(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rosario Central(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P.(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Aldosivi(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 25, 2026 | River Plate(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tigre win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Barracas Central win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | Barracas Central 2-1 Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Tigre 2-2 Barracas Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Barracas Central 1-0 Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Barracas Central 0-0 Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 17, 2023 | Tigre 0-1 Barracas Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jun 11, 2022 | Tigre 1-1 Barracas Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Barracas Central vs Tigre on Feb 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tigre score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Barracas Central score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Barracas Central | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tigre sit 10th in Liga Profesional Argentina (20 points from 16 matches) and Barracas Central sit 9th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Barracas Central | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Tigre | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tigre vs Barracas Central?
- The Footlab model makes Tigre the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Barracas Central.
- Where and when is Tigre vs Barracas Central played?
- Tigre vs Barracas Central is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Dellagiovanna, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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