Match

Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Machida Gion Stadium, Tokyo

Machida ZelviaTokyo Verdy

The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,714 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy?

Machida Zelvia starts as the favourite with a 261-point Elo edge (2,171 vs 1,910).

72%18%10%
Machida Zelvia winDrawTokyo Verdy win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Machida Zelvia

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Koki Ogawa
  1. 6H. Mochizuki
  2. 20T. Nishimura
  3. 16H. Mae
  4. 7Y. Soma
  5. 33T. Akimoto
  6. 31N. Lavi
  1. 3G. Shōji
  2. 2T. Ouwejan
  3. 24Kim Min-Tae
  1. 1K. Tani

Tokyo Verdy

4-4-2
  1. 33K. Ichimi
  2. 9I. Someno
  1. 8K. Saito
  2. 40Y. Arai
  3. 19K. Fujimoto
  4. 16R. Hirakawa
  1. 4N. Hayashi
  2. 18S. Mizoguchi
  3. 96Cho Yu-Min
  4. 22Y. Uchida
  1. 1Matheus Vidotto

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 02:31 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Machida Zelvia have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Tokyo Verdy have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 5, 2026Shanghai Shenhua(home)2-1AFC Champions League Two
Nov 1, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)0-0J1 League
Oct 29, 2026Shanghai Shenhua(away)1-0AFC Champions League Two
Oct 24, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)0-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)5-0J1 League
Tokyo Verdy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)2-1J1 League
Oct 24, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-1J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026FC Tokyo(home)0-4J1 League
Oct 11, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)0-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Machida Zelvia wins, 2 draws, 1 Tokyo Verdy win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 13, 2026Machida Zelvia 0-0 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Feb 21, 2026Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Jul 20, 2025Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Feb 26, 2025Machida Zelvia 0-1 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Jul 14, 2024Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
May 19, 2024Machida Zelvia 5-0 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy on May 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Machida Zelvia score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Machida Zelvia1.70.696/157/15
Tokyo Verdy1.01.447/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Machida Zelvia sit 3rd in J1 League (28 points from 13 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 17th (11 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Machida Zelvia13841301028
17Tokyo Verdy13256112211

A question about Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy?
The Footlab AI model makes Machida Zelvia the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy played?
Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Machida Gion Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Machida Zelvia and Tokyo Verdy

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