Where and when is V-varen Nagasaki vs Kawasaki Frontale played?

V-varen Nagasaki vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

V-varen Nagasaki vs Kawasaki Frontale: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki

V-varen Nagasaki

Kawasaki Frontale

The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for V-varen Nagasaki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Kawasaki Frontale?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate V-varen Nagasaki (1,910) and Kawasaki Frontale (1,961).

V-varen Nagasaki win37 %

Draw26 %

Kawasaki Frontale win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, V-varen Nagasaki have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Kawasaki Frontale have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

V-varen Nagasaki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	2-4	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Utrecht(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-0	J1 League

Kawasaki Frontale
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	1-1	J1 League
Jul 16, 2026	Vanraure Hachinohe(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)	0-1	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 V-varen Nagasaki win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kawasaki Frontale win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 29, 2018	V-varen Nagasaki 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale	J1 League
Jul 22, 2018	Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 V-varen Nagasaki	J1 League

Last archived meeting: V-varen Nagasaki vs Kawasaki Frontale on Sep 29, 2018

How many goals should we expect?

V-varen Nagasaki score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kawasaki Frontale score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
V-varen Nagasaki	1.2	1.5	2	9/15	8/15
Kawasaki Frontale	0.9	1.2	2	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

V-varen Nagasaki sit 16th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Kawasaki Frontale	3	0	3	0	4	4	3
16	V-varen Nagasaki	3	1	0	2	4	6	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for V-varen Nagasaki vs Kawasaki Frontale?: The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for V-varen Nagasaki.
Where and when is V-varen Nagasaki vs Kawasaki Frontale played?: V-varen Nagasaki vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.