Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Juan Pablo II College the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for UCV Moquegua. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Juan Pablo II College (1,557) and UCV Moquegua (1,607).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juan Pablo II College have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; UCV Moquegua have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ADT(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cusco(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sport Boys(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FBC Melgar(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Juan Pablo II College win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 UCV Moquegua win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | UCV Moquegua 3-0 Juan Pablo II College | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: UCV Moquegua vs Juan Pablo II College on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juan Pablo II College score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; UCV Moquegua score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Pablo II College | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| UCV Moquegua | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juan Pablo II College sit 18th in Primera División (16 points from 17 matches) and UCV Moquegua sit 14th (18 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Juan Pablo II College | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | UCV Moquegua | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | UCV Moquegua | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 25 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II College | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 47 | 24 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 18 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua?
- The Footlab model makes Juan Pablo II College the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for UCV Moquegua.
- Where and when is Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua played?
- Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Sporting CristalvsAtletico Grau
- Sep 19, 2026Alianza LimavsADT
- Sep 19, 2026FBC MelgarvsSport Boys
- Sep 19, 2026Sport HuancayovsUTC Cajamarca
- Sep 19, 2026Alianza AtleticovsComerciantes Unidos
- Sep 19, 2026CiencianovsClub Deportivo Los Chankas
- Sep 19, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsUniversitario
- Sep 19, 2026FC CajamarcavsCusco