Match

Tokyo Verdy vs Urawa: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Tokyo VerdyUrawa

The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Urawa?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Tokyo Verdy (1,872) and Urawa (1,932).

Tokyo Verdy win32 %
Draw26 %
Urawa win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokyo Verdy have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Urawa have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokyo Verdy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)4-1Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)0-0J1 League
Aug 14, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)1-3J1 League
Aug 9, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)1-1J1 League
Jun 6, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-4J1 League
Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Yamanashi Gakuin(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 23, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)1-4J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-4J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Omiya Ardija(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tokyo Verdy win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Urawa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Urawa 1-1 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Mar 14, 2026Tokyo Verdy 1-0 UrawaJ1 League
Sep 27, 2025Tokyo Verdy 0-0 UrawaJ1 League
May 3, 2025Urawa 2-0 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Jan 20, 2025Urawa 3-2 Tokyo VerdyFriendlies Clubs
Oct 19, 2024Tokyo Verdy 2-1 UrawaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Tokyo Verdy on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Urawa score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tokyo Verdy1.11.458/156/15
Urawa1.71.758/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tokyo Verdy sit 17th in J1 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Urawa sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Tokyo Verdy3021242
19Urawa30035110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokyo Verdy vs Urawa?
The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Urawa played?
Tokyo Verdy vs Urawa is played on February 14, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Tokyo Verdy and Urawa

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