Vianense vs Rio Ave: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 32Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. José de Matos, Viana do Castelo
The Footlab AI model makes Rio Ave the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Vianense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rio Ave wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vianense vs Rio Ave?
On Elo ratings, Vianense has 1,958 points and Rio Ave 2,012.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vianense vs Rio Ave
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vianense
4-3-3- 9Pedro Soares
- 7Moisés Conceição
- 11Rashid
- 10Reko Silva
- 68D. Maga
- 8B. Silva
- 3Laercio
- 19G. Faria
- 21Henrique Brito
- 12João Faria
- 13Nuno Silva
Rio Ave
4-2-3-1- 11J. Blesa
- 7Diogo Bezerra
- 79M. Patricio
- 54G. Liavas
- 80S. Clemmensen
- 90Diogo Nascimento
- 17M. Vrousai
- 20João Tomé
- 5A. Ntoi
- 39Gustavo Mancha
- 99E. van der Gouw
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vianense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Rio Ave have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Leça(home) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Guimaraes B(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paredes(home) | 3-3 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Louletano(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nacional(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Vianense score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Rio Ave score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vianense | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Rio Ave | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Vianense vs Rio Ave?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vianense vs Rio Ave?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rio Ave the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Vianense.
- Where and when is Vianense vs Rio Ave played?
- Vianense vs Rio Ave is played on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. José de Matos, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.