Wales U17 vs Denmark U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Millennium Stadium, Caerdydd
The Footlab model makes Wales U17 the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Denmark U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wales U17 vs Denmark U17?
Denmark U17 starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,681 vs 1,493).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wales U17 have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Denmark U17 have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Georgia U17(away) | 2-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 13, 2026 | San Marino U17(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Andorra U17(home) | 0-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Liechtenstein U17(away) | 11-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Portugal U17(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Italy U17(home) | 3-3 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 29, 2026 | France U17(away) | 0-4 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 26, 2026 | Montenegro U17(away) | 2-1 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Austria U17(home) | 6-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Kazakhstan U17(away) | 3-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Wales U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Denmark U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2024 | Denmark U17 2-0 Wales U17 | UEFA U17 Championship |
Last archived meeting: Denmark U17 vs Wales U17 on May 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Wales U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Denmark U17 score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales U17 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Denmark U17 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wales U17 sit 3rd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (4 points from 3 matches) and Denmark U17 sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark U17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Wales U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wales U17 vs Denmark U17?
- The Footlab model makes Wales U17 the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Denmark U17.
- Where and when is Wales U17 vs Denmark U17 played?
- Wales U17 vs Denmark U17 is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Millennium Stadium, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17vsGreece U17
- Sep 26, 2026Greece U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 26, 2026Iceland U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U17vsSwitzerland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Spain U17vsLiechtenstein U17