Match

Wales U17 vs Denmark U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Millennium Stadium, Caerdydd

Wales U17Denmark U17

The Footlab model makes Wales U17 the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Denmark U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wales U17 vs Denmark U17?

Denmark U17 starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,681 vs 1,493).

Wales U17 win39 %
Draw23 %
Denmark U17 win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wales U17 have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Denmark U17 have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wales U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 16, 2026Georgia U17(away)2-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 13, 2026San Marino U17(home)0-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 10, 2026Andorra U17(home)0-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025Liechtenstein U17(away)11-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 15, 2025Portugal U17(away)1-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Denmark U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 1, 2026Italy U17(home)3-3UEFA U17 Championship
May 29, 2026France U17(away)0-4UEFA U17 Championship
May 26, 2026Montenegro U17(away)2-1UEFA U17 Championship
Mar 31, 2026Austria U17(home)6-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Kazakhstan U17(away)3-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Wales U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Denmark U17 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 20, 2024Denmark U17 2-0 Wales U17UEFA U17 Championship

Last archived meeting: Denmark U17 vs Wales U17 on May 20, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Wales U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Denmark U17 score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wales U171.91.547/159/15
Denmark U172.12.3210/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wales U17 sit 3rd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (4 points from 3 matches) and Denmark U17 sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Denmark U1732101037
3Wales U1731111334

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wales U17 vs Denmark U17?
The Footlab model makes Wales U17 the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Denmark U17.
Where and when is Wales U17 vs Denmark U17 played?
Wales U17 vs Denmark U17 is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Millennium Stadium, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wales U17 and Denmark U17

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