Walsall vs Leyton Orient: prediction and stats
League CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Poundland Bescot Stadium, Walsall, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Leyton Orient the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Walsall. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Walsall vs Leyton Orient?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Walsall (1,744) and Leyton Orient (1,820).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Walsall have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Leyton Orient have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Waltham Abbey(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Walsall win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Leyton Orient win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | Walsall 1-1 Leyton Orient | League Two |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Leyton Orient 1-0 Walsall | League Two |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Walsall 0-2 Leyton Orient | League Two |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Leyton Orient 0-0 Walsall | League Two |
| Apr 5, 2021 | Leyton Orient 0-0 Walsall | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2020 | Walsall 2-1 Leyton Orient | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Walsall vs Leyton Orient on Feb 11, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Walsall score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leyton Orient score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Leyton Orient | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Walsall vs Leyton Orient?
- The Footlab model makes Leyton Orient the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Walsall.
- Where and when is Walsall vs Leyton Orient played?
- Walsall vs Leyton Orient is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Poundland Bescot Stadium, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.