Match

Wigry Suwałki vs Nieciecza: prediction and stats

CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 05:47 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Suwałki

Wigry SuwałkiNieciecza

The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Wigry Suwałki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Nieciecza?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Wigry Suwałki (1,836) and Nieciecza (1,871).

Wigry Suwałki win29 %
Draw24 %
Nieciecza win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigry Suwałki have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Nieciecza have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wigry Suwałki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Swit(home)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Troszyn(home)1-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Jagiellonia II(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026ŁKS Łódź II(home)2-0III Liga - Group 1
Nieciecza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Warszawa(home)1-3I Liga
Aug 16, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)1-2I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Warta Poznań(home)1-2I Liga
Aug 1, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)2-1I Liga
Jul 27, 2026Nea Salamis(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Wigry Suwałki win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Nieciecza win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 2, 2020Nieciecza 1-0 Wigry SuwałkiI Liga
Aug 25, 2019Wigry Suwałki 1-0 NiecieczaI Liga
Mar 9, 2019Nieciecza 1-0 Wigry SuwałkiI Liga
Aug 22, 2018Wigry Suwałki 3-2 NiecieczaI Liga

Last archived meeting: Nieciecza vs Wigry Suwałki on Jun 2, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wigry Suwałki1.60.777/155/15
Nieciecza2.11.6410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wigry Suwałki vs Nieciecza?
The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Wigry Suwałki.
Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Nieciecza played?
Wigry Suwałki vs Nieciecza is played on September 1, 2026 at 05:47 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wigry Suwałki and Nieciecza

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