Wigry Suwałki vs Nieciecza: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 05:47 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Suwałki
The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Wigry Suwałki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Nieciecza?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Wigry Suwałki (1,836) and Nieciecza (1,871).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigry Suwałki have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Nieciecza have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Wigry Suwałki win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Nieciecza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2020 | Nieciecza 1-0 Wigry Suwałki | I Liga |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Wigry Suwałki 1-0 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Nieciecza 1-0 Wigry Suwałki | I Liga |
| Aug 22, 2018 | Wigry Suwałki 3-2 Nieciecza | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Nieciecza vs Wigry Suwałki on Jun 2, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Nieciecza | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigry Suwałki vs Nieciecza?
- The Footlab model makes Nieciecza the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Wigry Suwałki.
- Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Nieciecza played?
- Wigry Suwałki vs Nieciecza is played on September 1, 2026 at 05:47 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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