York vs Rochdale: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)LNER Community Stadium, York, North Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes York the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Rochdale. The most likely score is 1-1. If York wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win York vs Rochdale?
On Elo ratings, York has 1,971 points and Rochdale 1,908.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for York vs Rochdale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
York
3-4-2-1- 10O. Pearce
- 28O. Banks
- 8A. Hunt
- 7J. Grey
- 12H. Boyes
- 23J. Felix
- 30A. Newby
- 2R. Fallowfield
- 3M. Kitching
- 5Z. Johnson
- 1Alfie Shane McNally
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 17B. Adeeko
- 8H. Gilmour
- 45G. Middleton
- 21Kane Taylor
- 7C. Hayes
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 2C. Tasker
- 44A. Flint
- 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
- 20Sam William John Waller
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, York have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Rochdale have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 York wins, 2 draws, 0 Rochdale wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rochdale 1-1 York | National League |
| Nov 11, 2025 | York 4-1 Rochdale | National League |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Rochdale 1-2 York | FA Cup |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Rochdale 0-4 York | National League |
| Aug 20, 2024 | York 1-0 Rochdale | National League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Rochdale 0-0 York | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
York score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Rochdale | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
York sit 4th in League Two (16 points from 10 matches) and Rochdale sit 13th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | York | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 16 |
| 13 | Rochdale | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
A question about York vs Rochdale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for York vs Rochdale?
- The Footlab AI model makes York the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Rochdale.
- Where and when is York vs Rochdale played?
- York vs Rochdale is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at LNER Community Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.