America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 10Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali
The Footlab model makes America de Cali the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Deportivo Pasto. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto?
America de Cali starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,662).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America de Cali have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Deportivo Pasto have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Once Caldas(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chico(home) | 7-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Llaneros(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Millonarios(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bogota FC(away) | 3-0 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 America de Cali win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Deportivo Pasto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto 2-0 America de Cali | Primera A |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Deportivo Pasto 0-2 America de Cali | Primera A |
| Feb 8, 2025 | America de Cali 1-1 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Deportivo Pasto 3-1 America de Cali | Primera A |
| Apr 19, 2024 | America de Cali 0-0 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| Jul 30, 2023 | America de Cali 1-1 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
America de Cali score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Pasto score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America de Cali | 1.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Deportivo Pasto | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
America de Cali sit 4th in Primera A (33 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Pasto sit 3rd (34 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 6 | America de Cali | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 34 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto?
- The Footlab model makes America de Cali the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Deportivo Pasto.
- Where and when is America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto played?
- America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026ChicovsIndependiente Medellin
- Sep 13, 2026JaguaresvsFortaleza FC
- Sep 13, 2026Internacional de BogotavsLlaneros
- Sep 13, 2026Once CaldasvsDeportivo Cali
- Sep 13, 2026Atletico NacionalvsÁguilas Doradas
- Sep 13, 2026Santa FevsDeportes Tolima
- Sep 13, 2026Alianza ValleduparvsJunior
- Sep 13, 2026Deportivo PereiravsBucaramanga