Atlanta vs San Martin S.J.: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Don León Kolbovski, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Atlanta the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for San Martin S.J.. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlanta vs San Martin S.J.?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Atlanta (1,779) and San Martin S.J. (1,789).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlanta have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; San Martin S.J. have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nueva Chicago(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ferro Carril Oeste(away) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Temperley(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Maipu(away) | 2-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Almagro(home) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(home) | 3-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Agropecuario(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Atlanta win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 San Martin S.J. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | San Martin S.J. 1-2 Atlanta | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 18, 2022 | San Martin S.J. 0-1 Atlanta | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Atlanta 3-1 San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 12, 2017 | San Martin S.J. 0-3 Atlanta | Copa Argentina |
Last archived meeting: San Martin S.J. vs Atlanta on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlanta score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; San Martin S.J. score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| San Martin S.J. | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlanta sit 4th in Primera Nacional (42 points from 25 matches) and San Martin S.J. sit 11th (32 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Atlanta | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 25 | 42 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J. | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlanta vs San Martin S.J.?
- The Footlab model makes Atlanta the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for San Martin S.J..
- Where and when is Atlanta vs San Martin S.J. played?
- Atlanta vs San Martin S.J. is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Don León Kolbovski, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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