Match

Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueMatchday 36Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka

Avispa FukuokaKashima

The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Avispa Fukuoka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kashima wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,999 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima?

Kashima starts as the favourite with a 286-point Elo edge (2,164 vs 1,879).

23%25%52%
Avispa Fukuoka winDrawKashima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Avispa Fukuoka

3-4-2-1
  1. 13S. Morooka
  1. 11T. Miki
  2. 34K. Shiihashi
  3. 2M. Yuzawa
  4. 29Y. Maejima
  5. 6M. Shigemi
  6. 47Y. Hashimoto
  1. 16T. Oka
  2. 5T. Kamijima
  3. 20K. Mikuni
  1. 24Y. Obata

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 40Y. Suzuki
  2. 9Léo Ceará
  1. 17Élber
  2. 27Y. Matsumura
  3. 8Matheus Bueno
  4. 14Y. Higuchi
  1. 7R. Ogawa
  2. 55N. Ueda
  3. 23K. Tsukui
  4. 5I. Sekigawa
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avispa Fukuoka have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Kashima have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Avispa Fukuoka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)1-1J1 League
Nov 1, 2026JEF United Chiba(away)0-3J1 League
Oct 24, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)1-3J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)1-2J1 League
Oct 18, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)0-3J1 League
Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)3-2J-League Cup
Nov 7, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-2J1 League
Nov 4, 2026Buriram United(away)0-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 31, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)4-1J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Pohang Steelers(home)3-0AFC Champions League Elite

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Avispa Fukuoka wins, 3 draws, 3 Kashima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kashima 3-2 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
Jan 24, 2026Avispa Fukuoka 3-3 KashimaFriendlies Clubs
Aug 16, 2025Kashima 1-1 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
Aug 6, 2025Kashima 3-2 Avispa FukuokaEmperor Cup
May 6, 2025Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 KashimaJ1 League
Oct 19, 2024Kashima 0-0 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Avispa Fukuoka score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kashima score 2.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Avispa Fukuoka0.81.719/159/15
Kashima2.21.258/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Avispa Fukuoka sit 20th in J1 League (8 points from 14 matches) and Kashima sit 6th (23 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Kashima14725292423
20Avispa Fukuoka14221014258

A question about Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima?
The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Avispa Fukuoka.
Where and when is Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima played?
Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima is played on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Best Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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