Urawa vs Kyoto Sanga: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama
The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Urawa vs Kyoto Sanga?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Urawa (1,932) and Kyoto Sanga (1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Kyoto Sanga have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Yamanashi Gakuin(home) | 3-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(away) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 1-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Maruyasu Okazaki(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Urawa win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Kyoto Sanga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Urawa 2-1 Kyoto Sanga | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Urawa 2-1 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Urawa | J1 League |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Kyoto Sanga 0-0 Urawa | J1 League |
| May 15, 2024 | Urawa 3-0 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Urawa 0-0 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Urawa score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urawa | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Kyoto Sanga | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Urawa sit 19th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Kyoto Sanga sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 19 | Urawa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Kyoto Sanga?
- The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Kyoto Sanga.
- Where and when is Urawa vs Kyoto Sanga played?
- Urawa vs Kyoto Sanga is played on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Sanfrecce HiroshimavsKashiwa Reysol
- May 22, 2027FC TokyovsGamba Osaka
- May 22, 2027Kawasaki FrontalevsCerezo Osaka
- May 22, 2027Yokohama F. MarinosvsShimizu S-pulse
- May 22, 2027JEF United ChibavsVissel Kobe
- May 22, 2027Mito HollyhockvsNagoya Grampus
- May 22, 2027Tokyo VerdyvsV-varen Nagasaki
- May 22, 2027Fagiano OkayamavsMachida Zelvia