Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol played?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Kashiwa Reysol

The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Kashiwa Reysol. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Sanfrecce Hiroshima (2,090) and Kashiwa Reysol (2,026).

Sanfrecce Hiroshima win50 %

Draw25 %

Kashiwa Reysol win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Kashiwa Reysol have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Okinawa SV(home)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Urawa(away)	4-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	JEF United Chiba(home)	3-0	J1 League
Jul 28, 2026	Verspah Oita(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

Kashiwa Reysol
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Senshu University(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	4-2	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	2-1	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Kashiwa Reysol win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 1, 2025	Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J-League Cup
Sep 23, 2025	Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J1 League
Mar 16, 2025	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Aug 25, 2024	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Jun 22, 2024	Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J1 League
Aug 26, 2023	Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Nov 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2.3	1.1	5	9/15	10/15
Kashiwa Reysol	1.6	1.2	3	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th in J1 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Kashiwa Reysol	3	3	0	0	9	4	9
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3	2	1	0	8	2	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol?: The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Kashiwa Reysol.
Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol played?: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on May 22, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.