Barra vs Volta Redonda: prediction and stats
Serie CRegular Season - 19Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, Itajaí, Santa Catarina
The Footlab model makes Barra the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Volta Redonda. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barra vs Volta Redonda?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Barra (1,742) and Volta Redonda (1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barra have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Volta Redonda have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maringá(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AO Itabaiana(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ituano(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ypiranga-RS(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Floresta(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ituano(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inter De Limeira(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Anápolis(home) | 1-4 | Serie C |
| Jul 20, 2026 | São Gonçalo EC RJ(home) | 0-0 | Copa Rio |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Barra win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Volta Redonda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | Volta Redonda 0-0 Barra | Copa Do Brasil |
Last archived meeting: Volta Redonda vs Barra on Mar 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barra score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Volta Redonda score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barra | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Volta Redonda | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barra sit 18th in Serie C (18 points from 18 matches) and Volta Redonda sit 16th (21 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 21 |
| 18 | Barra | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barra vs Volta Redonda?
- The Footlab model makes Barra the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Volta Redonda.
- Where and when is Barra vs Volta Redonda played?
- Barra vs Volta Redonda is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, in the Serie C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.