Blackpool vs Lincoln: prediction and stats
League CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Road, Blackpool, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Lincoln the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Blackpool. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blackpool vs Lincoln?
Lincoln starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blackpool have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Lincoln have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Blackpool win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Lincoln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Lincoln 4-0 Blackpool | League One |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Blackpool 2-2 Lincoln | League One |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Lincoln 0-2 Blackpool | League One |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Blackpool 1-1 Lincoln | League One |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Blackpool 2-0 Lincoln | League One |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Lincoln 3-0 Blackpool | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Blackpool score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lincoln score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackpool | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Lincoln | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blackpool vs Lincoln?
- The Footlab model makes Lincoln the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Blackpool.
- Where and when is Blackpool vs Lincoln played?
- Blackpool vs Lincoln is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Road, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.